Bowl Projections – Some Thoughts

A quick search of teh interwebz for bowl projections landed me at SI, CBS, ESPN, and Off-Tackle Empire. Let’s dissect the predictions.

Sports Illustrated: Outback Bowl vs. Georgia

According to Roger, our resident SEC expert, this matchup could get ugly. “That is probably the worst conceivable matchup other than maybe Alabama.” Georgia still controls it’s own destiny to the BCS title game. A drop from that to a matchup against the ‘Cats? I love the ‘Cats, but I have to be realistic. This would be ugly. Georgia would absolutely dominate in the trenches, and the Bulldogs would rack up 6-8 yard runs like clockwork. 

CBS: Outback vs. South Carolina

This is a different South Carolina team without Marcus Lattimore, who has been out since October 27 with multiple ligament damage in his right knee. I’m not going to link the video to that. It’s awful. Knees shouldn’t bend that way. That said, we’re still talking about an upper echelon SEC team here, who would have a field day in the trenches. I like this matchup better than the matchup against Georgia, but not by much. Six of one/half dozen of the other. 

ESPN/OTE: Gator vs. Mississippi State

I like this one. I think the #B1GCats can win this one. By which I mean I don’t think they’ll get blown out of the water. Mississippi State has beaten zero bowl bound team this year. Granted, their three losses have been to TAMU, Alabama and LSU. The ‘Cats have beaten Vandy, Syracuse and Minnesota. Not world beaters, but whatever, GO CATS. 

Conditions 

These are projections. So, if the ‘Cats lose to Illinois somehow (oof), these all go out the window. Additionally, the Outback Bowl projections hinge on the belief that Wisconsin will lose out to Penn State and Nebraska. Even if UW beats PSU and loses to Nebraska, they’re going to finish 8-5. The Outback bowl cannot pick a team with two more losses than the next available team (9-3 NU vs 8-5 Bucky). Also, if UW wins the CCG and goes to Pasadena, we can count on Nebraska getting picked ahead of us in either the Capital One Bowl or the Outback. 

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